Catherine Connolly Surges 18 Points Ahead of Humphreys in Aras Race

UPDATE: Catherine Connolly has taken a commanding lead over Heather Humphreys in the race for the Aras, according to a new Ipsos B&A poll released today. Connolly, the independent candidate, is currently ahead by a striking 18 points with just over a week remaining until the presidential election on October 27, 2025.

The poll, conducted for the Irish Times, reveals that Connolly’s popularity is surging as voters head to the polls, highlighting a significant shift in public sentiment. More than half of the respondents also expressed support for changing the constitution to simplify the presidential candidacy process, indicating a desire for broader electoral participation.

With 60,000 new voters joining the electoral register, the upcoming election is poised to engage a large segment of the electorate. This surge in registration underscores the urgency of the moment as both candidates prepare for the final stretch of campaigning.

Why This Matters: Connolly’s lead not only demonstrates her increasing support but also reflects a growing appetite for change among the Irish electorate. As the election approaches, the dynamics of this race could redefine the political landscape in Ireland.

Officials and political analysts are closely monitoring these developments, as they could have lasting implications for the future of Irish politics. Connolly’s campaign strategy and Humphreys’ response will be crucial in the coming days.

Next Steps: As the candidates ramp up their efforts in the final week, all eyes will be on their public engagements and debates. Voter turnout will be critical, and the focus on constitutional reform will likely continue to resonate with the electorate.

Stay tuned for more updates as this story develops.